Glossy-Cashier
0x7bff96579b20fe3530e140d6a3c223c9f2127cd6
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$45.3K
Total PnL
$-11.7K
Realised
$412.72
Win rate
82%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
32178 shares @ 92.9¢·now 95.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.7K
$810.81
- NO
Macron out by July 31, 2026?
5529 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.5K
$43.02
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
2327 shares @ 85.1¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$219.14
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$997.50
$5.50
- NO
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?
655 shares @ 89.3¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$629.79
$44.62
- NO
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
636 shares @ 88.7¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$604.81
$40.27
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 95.0¢·now 75.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$375.70
$-99.30
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 94.5¢·now 74.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$374.25
$-98.25
- NO
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?
440 shares @ 78.5¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$327.61
$-17.64
- NO
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?
305 shares @ 89.8¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$298.14
$24.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 28?$291.10Jul 29, 01:42 UTC
- YIELD$2.75Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 28?$317.47Jul 28, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 28?$1.0KJul 28, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 28?$5.00Jul 28, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 28?$2.08Jul 28, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 28?$49.95Jul 28, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 28?$317.15Jul 28, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 28?$967.50Jul 28, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Chicken" in July?$37.24Jul 28, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Wolf" in July?$34.20Jul 28, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" in July?$35.76Jul 28, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" in July?$52.53Jul 28, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 27?$352.49Jul 28, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 27?$53.94Jul 28, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 27?$11.11Jul 28, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 27?$11.10Jul 28, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 27?$1.05Jul 28, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 27?$1.05Jul 28, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 27?$66.59Jul 28, 06:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
82% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 28?
$5.4K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $66.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 02:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 01:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.