0x7c873c11e40ceaaba6385322d49f565b66659bd4
0x7c873c11e40ceaaba6385322d49f565b66659bd4
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$40.0K
Total PnL
$-148.3K
Realised
$-1.3K
Win rate
43%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
43073 shares @ 54.5¢·now 66.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$28.6K
$5.2K
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
12500 shares @ 58.3¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.3K
$1.0K
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
1105 shares @ 76.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$187.80
- NO
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
1065 shares @ 65.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$830.66
$138.69
- YES
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
86952 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$478.24
$-547.80
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
3018 shares @ 45.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$286.71
$-1.1K
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
324 shares @ 64.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$276.78
$69.60
- YES
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
11000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$115.50
$-71.50
- NO
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
9 shares @ 52.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.94
$1.22
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 66.7¢·now 80.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.13
$0.54
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.1KJul 15, 21:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
28/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $2.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.