Bare-Difficulty
0x7cb61295b83fc19bc97e1b5a8d7ff8c823949de3
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$20.29
Total PnL
$-2.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 81.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.46
$0.46
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Will George Russell finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$1.19
$0.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?$1.00Feb 10, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?$1.00Feb 4, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00Jan 27, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Jan 21, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$1.00Jan 20, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Dec 30, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.00Dec 23, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?$1.00Dec 17, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?$1.00Dec 8, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russell Wilson start Week 1 for the Giants?$1.11Nov 26, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMOliveira vs. Gamrot$2.00Nov 26, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Nov 18, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.00Nov 11, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$1.00Nov 5, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Oct 28, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?$1.00Oct 21, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?$1.00Oct 14, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYOliveira vs. Gamrot$1.00Oct 8, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?$1.00Sep 23, 10:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 05:37 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 11:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.