Faithful-Camel
0x7d82dee26642149907ac4a22dc4dd9e1485c1263
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$165.26
Total PnL
$-287.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
109 shares @ 91.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$103.22
$3.22
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.52
$1.52
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
11 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.21
$0.21
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
11 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
5 shares @ 95.7¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 98.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Oct 21, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
1 shares @ 96.1¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$1.02Jul 22, 05:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.22Jul 15, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.