Polite-Wingtip
0x7dce96e76b248b2220be03e09629f899ee884682
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
136
Open notional
$769.95
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$142.48
Win rate
75%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 136- YES
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
1115 shares @ 17.8¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$217.34
$18.96
- YES
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
527 shares @ 29.9¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$123.73
$-33.60
- YES
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026
333 shares @ 22.7¢·now 36.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$120.72
$45.27
- YES
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be above 85%?
318 shares @ 38.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$117.49
$-3.34
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
364 shares @ 10.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$38.40
$-1.27
- YES
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026
119 shares @ 18.9¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.41
$11.92
- YES
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026
89 shares @ 14.8¢·now 22.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.81
$6.65
- YES
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be between 82.5% and 85%?
65 shares @ 25.6¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$17.58
$0.93
- YES
Grok 4.4 released by June 30?
85 shares @ 7.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.78
$3.02
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
73 shares @ 19.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$9.13
$-4.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAnother GTA VI trailer released by June 30?$10.70Jun 13, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026$10.40Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother GTA VI trailer released by June 30?$12.41Jun 13, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$9.39Jun 13, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4.4 released by June 30?$7.00Jun 13, 14:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?$1.52Jun 12, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$37.16Jun 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$10.81Jun 12, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$30.35Jun 12, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$6.78Jun 12, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?$1.02Jun 12, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.58Jun 12, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$23.94Jun 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?$2.02Jun 12, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$11.87Jun 12, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by June 30?$1.39Jun 12, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.93Jun 12, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33.91Jun 12, 13:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $11.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 15:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.