0x7dcf5a7420561b7c9d50ba89a01878d5abf245e8
0x7dcf5a7420561b7c9d50ba89a01878d5abf245e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$17.05
Total PnL
$-3.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$3.67
$1.69
- YES
Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$2.13
$0.12
- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.07
$0.09
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 75.1¢·now 77.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.95
$0.05
- YES
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.93
$-0.02
- YES
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.93
$-0.02
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.71
$0.17
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 24.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.66
$-0.34
- NO
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of July 27 2026?
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$2.00Jul 28, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of July 27 2026?$1.56Jul 28, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1.98Jul 27, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?$2.02Jul 27, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Michigan remarks?$1.32Jul 26, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$2.04Jul 26, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$2.00Jul 25, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$3.56Jul 25, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?$2.05Jul 25, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$0.00Jul 24, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.92Jul 24, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$0.00Jul 24, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$2.00Jul 24, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.07Jul 23, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$1.27Jul 23, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$1.54Jul 22, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$1.11Jul 22, 02:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 02:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 13:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.