Elegant-Guacamole
0x7dd19f4602bf91911d35c85674c1297c5e50a7f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-254.81
Realised
$-59.43
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
430 shares @ 85.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$350.41
$-14.99
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
265 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$246.15
$5.15
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
375 shares @ 70.7¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$219.65
$-45.98
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
286 shares @ 77.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$201.43
$-18.53
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
217 shares @ 88.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$187.55
$-3.95
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
179 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$156.32
$4.44
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 91.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$137.25
$0.25
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
219 shares @ 59.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$97.43
$-31.85
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$96.55
$3.55
- NO
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$87.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?$5.51Jun 20, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $60 in June?$8.40Jun 20, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?$7.92Jun 20, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?$21.10Jun 20, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?$46.26Jun 20, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?$88.74Jun 20, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?$10.00Jun 20, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 23?$3.33Jun 20, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 22?$4.00Jun 20, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $60 in June?$0.61Jun 20, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?$25.20Jun 20, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?$12.73Jun 20, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$8.58Jun 20, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$4.22Jun 20, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$5.13Jun 20, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$7.50Jun 20, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?$11.56Jun 20, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?$7.92Jun 20, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Alexandra Eala$4.47Jun 20, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$5.00Jun 20, 00:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $9.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 03:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 16:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.