Woozy-Blessing
0x7ddeb72e6b8726b146d085c20a90bb64158030b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
186
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$4.62
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 186- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
202 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$189.01
$1.01
- NO
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
179 shares @ 96.6¢·now 97.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$175.17
$2.07
- NO
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
203 shares @ 74.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp May 30, 2027$144.93
$-5.07
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$114.80
$0.60
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
134 shares @ 40.9¢·now 57.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$76.91
$22.27
- NO
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
75 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$72.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
50 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$47.45
$-0.50
- NO
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?
35 shares @ 95.2¢·now 94.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.42
$-0.20
- NO
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
31 shares @ 95.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$30.42
$1.08
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
30 shares @ 89.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.49
$0.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)$6.22Aug 6, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)$3.19Aug 5, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$5.06Aug 5, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?$5.00Aug 5, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?$19.23Aug 5, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?$5.00Aug 4, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: July$5.06Aug 1, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$5.12Aug 1, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?$30.53Aug 1, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMMitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?$5.11Aug 1, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$27.36Aug 1, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? $25.10Aug 1, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMIran full airspace closure by July 31?$10.11Aug 1, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?$10.17Jul 29, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMPortlandFire vs. Las Vegas Aces$10.12Jul 29, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?$5.00Jul 28, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$5.06Jul 27, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMMap Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)$10.12Jul 26, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-07-24?$10.00Jul 26, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?$5.00Jul 26, 01:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $4.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 04:39 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 6, 03:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.