Supportive-Solitaire-Process
0x7df00357d97916a5c7888b212a94535097790dfe
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$412.21
Realised
$1.5K
Win rate
79%
62 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
350 shares @ 88.8¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$342.45
$31.59
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 89°F or below on July 16?
373 shares @ 70.9¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$302.46
$37.71
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
285 shares @ 94.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$283.57
$14.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?
276 shares @ 78.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$276.07
$58.27
- YES
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
256 shares @ 84.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$254.76
$39.82
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
212 shares @ 94.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$202.57
$2.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 16?
201 shares @ 91.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$200.78
$16.83
- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
338 shares @ 85.1¢·now 58.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$197.08
$-90.37
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
186 shares @ 61.2¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$178.29
$64.47
- NO
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?
214 shares @ 92.2¢·now 81.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$174.20
$-23.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$10.63Jul 16, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$13.20Jul 16, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?$3.50Jul 16, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 16?$0.00Jul 16, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 16?$34.95Jul 16, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 16?$0.00Jul 16, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 16?$0.00Jul 16, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 16?$0.00Jul 16, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 16?$0.00Jul 16, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 16?$0.00Jul 16, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 16?$0.00Jul 16, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 16?$0.00Jul 16, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 16?$0.00Jul 16, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 16?$0.00Jul 16, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 16?$0.00Jul 16, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sentinels win the EWC League of Legends Tournament$0.00Jul 16, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 16?$0.00Jul 16, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill GAM Esports win the EWC League of Legends Tournament$0.00Jul 16, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on July 16?$0.00Jul 16, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 16?$44.23Jul 16, 16:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
73/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
79% win rate over 62 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
62 closed markets, 79% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $14.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 16:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 62 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.