0x7ea7bcd658a253bfa78618a8e127cc73b54879ac
0x7ea7bcd658a253bfa78618a8e127cc73b54879ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$70.2K
Total PnL
$-82.6K
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
70%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
161070 shares @ 24.3¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$24.2K
$-14.8K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
15000 shares @ 5.7¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$13.4K
$12.6K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
6745 shares @ 85.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$6.2K
$465.93
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
18734 shares @ 26.6¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.7K
$-233.84
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
4807 shares @ 75.2¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.2K
$588.90
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
4000 shares @ 76.7¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.2K
$130.00
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
17275 shares @ 45.4¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.1K
$-4.7K
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
2567 shares @ 54.0¢·now 96.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.5K
$1.1K
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
2500 shares @ 33.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$962.51
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
2000 shares @ 62.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$440.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 8?$9.8KJun 15, 06:30 UTC
- YIELD$2.66Jun 15, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$31.94Jun 15, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$2.66Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$39.47Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$2.65Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$9.01Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.47Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$2.64Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.15Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$500.00Jun 11, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$283.68Jun 11, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.08Jun 11, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.36Jun 11, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.19Jun 11, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2.60Jun 11, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$230.07Jun 11, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$214.06Jun 11, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$106.00Jun 11, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2.41Jun 11, 19:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $144.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 17:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.