Fresh-Tshirt
0x7eb085d46ad0f811ebb3c1498a7c544697d80b53
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$9.99
Total PnL
$-23.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Cory Booker be the next Senate Majority Leader?
1 shares @ 93.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$1.35
$0.09
- YES
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.29
$-0.09
- NO
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 96.4¢·now 90.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.28
$-0.08
- NO
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.24
$-0.00
- YES
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$1.23
$-0.05
- NO
Will Republican Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.23
$0.11
- NO
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.19
$-0.03
- NO
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.18
$0.03
- DOGA TURKMEN
ITF Kayseri: Doga Turkmen vs Deniz Dilek
4 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.28
- KAITLIN QUEVEDO
La Bisbal: Xinyu Wang vs Kaitlin Quevedo
3 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-11?$1.66Jul 14, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-11?$1.13Jul 14, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMTony Gonzales charged by June 30?$1.70Jul 4, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMMike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?$1.34Jul 1, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMGrass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova$1.37Jun 19, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova$1.18Jun 19, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMRoyan: Gerard Campana Lee vs Lucio Ratti$1.54Jun 18, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoyan: Gerard Campana Lee vs Lucio Ratti$1.53Jun 18, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$1.29Jun 17, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.11Jun 17, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMTucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez$1.33Jun 17, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMProstejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachko$1.41Jun 17, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMFISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?$1.49Jun 17, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMITF Kursumlijska Banja: Dusica Popovski vs Alexandra Irina Anghel$1.54Jun 17, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMSwalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?$1.91Jun 17, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros$1.18Jun 15, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez$1.17Jun 10, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYProstejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachko$1.08Jun 5, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Kursumlijska Banja: Dusica Popovski vs Alexandra Irina Anghel$1.29Jun 2, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Kayseri: Doga Turkmen vs Deniz Dilek$1.31May 28, 10:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 17:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.