Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?
Probability
49¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
+6.0pp
24h Vol
$1.70
Liquidity
$66.24
Probability (last 7 days)
-17.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 6pp over 24h
Now 49¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1568h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 43.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1568.4h
- 15:37SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1568h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:37PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 47¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 55¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 40¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 40¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 46¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 50¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 52¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 43¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 49¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 55¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 53¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 55¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 57¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.5pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -32.0pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 42¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 42¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 42¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 42¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 40¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzales between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (43.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).