Pungent-Polish
0x7eb9b407f3ee1cd5660af543e5e486c58b14753f
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$13.62
Total PnL
$-346.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
34 shares @ 14.5¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.75
$2.75
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.50
$-1.30
- YES
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.36
$-8.64
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 8?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Mortal Kombat II" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?
169 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Adele be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
126 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
104 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
72 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?
62 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$3.07Jun 3, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.51Jun 3, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$13.05May 31, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$7.89May 31, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$10.10May 31, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$15.24May 31, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?$4.98May 30, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLMinnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$2.75May 30, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLMinnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$2.24May 30, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$10.02May 30, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$2.05May 30, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima$11.48May 30, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLMilwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros$0.19May 30, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros$1.03May 30, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBoston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians$1.14May 30, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima$10.04May 30, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians$4.09May 30, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMiami Marlins vs. New York Mets$1.94May 30, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. New York Mets$5.13May 30, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLSan Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals$12.05May 30, 21:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $10.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 19:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 05:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.