Treasured-Calf
0x7f0cdf90d28aa41f40c273760e0cccf6d668160c
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$23.6K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
10024 shares @ 83.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.3K
$952.31
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
5500 shares @ 89.8¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.3K
$354.98
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
5073 shares @ 91.5¢·now 95.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.8K
$187.99
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
4000 shares @ 84.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.8K
$420.31
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
400 shares @ 45.5¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$222.00
$40.00
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
200 shares @ 84.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$187.00
$19.00
- KNICKS
Spurs vs. Knicks
100 shares @ 54.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$49.99
$-4.00
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
2275 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1881 shares @ 79.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
500 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-320.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.92Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.92Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.92Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.92Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.92Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.92Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.92Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.92Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.92Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.92Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.92Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.92Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.92Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.92Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.92Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.92Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.92Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.92Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.92Jul 10, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.92Jul 9, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.