Klutzy-Posterior
0x7f39a516911c08bf134e4e5f275a3851faecb57e
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$64.63
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-114.83
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
6176 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.97
$-297.94
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
73 shares @ 22.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.55
$-1.45
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.06
$0.92
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
50 shares @ 17.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.25
$-4.25
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
636 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.59
$-28.01
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.89
$-0.11
- YES
Netanyahu out by July 31?
600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.30
$-2.70
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
3585 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
1655 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-109.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$8.25Jul 22, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$8.34Jul 22, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$8.25Jul 22, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?$5.20Jul 22, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$9.00Jul 22, 17:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by May 31?$0.00Jul 21, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by April 30?$0.00Jul 21, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$15.06Jul 21, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$23.33Jul 21, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$38.84Jul 21, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$50.83Jul 21, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$5.00Jul 21, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$3.59Jul 21, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$30.76Jul 21, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$17.00Jul 21, 02:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.03Jul 20, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.10Jul 20, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.07Jul 20, 08:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $10.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 20:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 18:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.