Black-And-White-Insert
0x7fa5ea5d4bda8eb31cc35a17c522210845fe7621
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$-941.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
177 shares @ 54.4¢·now 73.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$129.26
$32.91
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?
123 shares @ 94.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.22
$1.53
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?
122 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$116.87
$0.61
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?
121 shares @ 94.7¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$115.33
$0.39
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
123 shares @ 92.8¢·now 93.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$115.08
$1.04
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
121 shares @ 91.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$112.70
$2.44
- NO
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
138 shares @ 61.0¢·now 72.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$100.27
$16.30
- NO
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?
127 shares @ 12.3¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$93.04
$77.41
- YES
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?
375 shares @ 40.1¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$86.33
$-64.19
- NO
Tuyo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
106 shares @ 67.2¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$79.97
$8.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sui reach $2.00 before 2027?$2.89Jul 3, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sui reach $1.80 before 2027?$2.08Jul 3, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winner$30.00Jul 3, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner$18.22Jul 3, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in June?$0.00Jul 3, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMReal Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: Draw at halftime?$0.00Jul 3, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMMap 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5$0.00Jul 3, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMMap Handicap: EJ (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)$0.00Jul 3, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jul 3, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jul 3, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: FC Nantes 0 - 0 Toulouse FC?$0.00Jul 3, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Kyrgyz Republic 0 - 0 Kenya?$0.00Jul 3, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Austria 0 - 0 Guatemala?$0.00Jul 3, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 0 - 0 Samsunspor?$0.00Jul 3, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winner$28.20Jul 3, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)$1.23Jul 3, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$5.06Jul 3, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.42Jul 3, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$5.06Jul 3, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?$2.02Jul 3, 04:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $7.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 19:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 08:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.