Dry-Affinity
0x7fae317c83aefb3735fcdffd9a309381d916f88d
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$15.87
Total PnL
$-48.11
Realised
$0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
31 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.00
$0.00
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
29 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.86
$-0.14
- NO
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
23 shares @ 13.2¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.63
$0.63
- YES
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
67 shares @ 4.5¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- YES
Will four or more people dissent the June Fed decision?
18 shares @ 16.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.38
$-1.62
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
153 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
51 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Big Game: Big Man TD?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by end of 2026?$4.141d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$4.001d ago
- TRADEBUYAnthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$3.101d ago
- TRADEBUYWill four or more people dissent the June Fed decision?$3.121d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$3.141d ago
- TRADESELLWill Riyadh Falcons win DreamHack Major 2? $1.6040d ago
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.0048d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18)$0.0048d ago
- REDEEMWill Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?$0.0048d ago
- REDEEMWill "Unbelievable" be said at the Super Bowl?$0.0048d ago
- REDEEMWill Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$0.0048d ago
- REDEEMWill the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?$0.0048d ago
- TRADESELLWill the U.K. join the Board of Peace?$0.5850d ago
- TRADESELLWill Germany join the Board of Peace?$0.5650d ago
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?$1.1357d ago
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$0.9457d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$3.6757d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump be impeached by end of 2026?$4.3658d ago
- TRADESELLWill Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?$1.5658d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$1.0059d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 87d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
