0x7fc6b8e8ddc165b9aa4bdee6fb4d0c515dcb0e19
0x7fc6b8e8ddc165b9aa4bdee6fb4d0c515dcb0e19
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$196.95
Total PnL
$196.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
197 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$196.95
$196.95
- YES
Will Jaime Dunn win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
118000 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
30585 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$0.00
- EASTERN MICHIGAN
Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
14172 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
9910 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
9625 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$0.00
- SABALENKA
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios
8850 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$0.00
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Magic
6509 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2025-11-24?
4023 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
3817 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 21, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.41Apr 21, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.49Apr 21, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$2.70Apr 21, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.38Apr 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.43Apr 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$4.12Apr 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$11.57Apr 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$13.57Apr 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$14.47Apr 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$19.43Apr 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$23.32Apr 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$24.40Apr 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$19.94Apr 21, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Texas A&M win the 2025 SEC Championship Game?$1.10Apr 20, 23:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.30Apr 20, 23:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill US Lecce win on 2025-12-27?$1.33Apr 20, 23:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-27?$1.58Apr 20, 23:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-27?$1.59Apr 20, 23:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-29?$1.76Apr 20, 23:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $11.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 23:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.