Soft-Shorts
0x8043e65e93f40139d48d36001a2b8a324bb091c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$410.15
Total PnL
$-434.65
Realised
$-156.48
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
752 shares @ 37.1¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$157.88
$-121.24
- NO
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
226 shares @ 63.7¢·now 57.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$129.30
$-14.59
- NO
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
116 shares @ 67.1¢·now 70.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$81.28
$3.71
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 67.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.31
$-3.24
- NO
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?
13 shares @ 81.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.25
$-1.16
- NO
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 77.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$6.65
$1.29
- NO
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.55
$0.98
- YES
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
128 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.53
$-0.06
- NO
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 35.6¢·now 57.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.40
$1.29
- YES
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?
3 shares @ 8.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.00
$2.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$78.29May 9, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?$7.80May 4, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?$0.19May 4, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$108.62May 2, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?$3.51May 2, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?$6.03May 2, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$92.00Apr 23, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMUSD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$761.98Apr 23, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$55.16Apr 8, 12:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?$190.27Apr 4, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?$25.08Apr 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?$0.00Apr 4, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$33.00Apr 2, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$34.00Apr 2, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$35.00Apr 2, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$36.00Apr 2, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?$74.48Apr 1, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?$93.83Apr 1, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$60.14Apr 1, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$40.06Apr 1, 14:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $35.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 19:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.