Rare-Supply
0x815cbff1318a0dc25e1517a7a543ea86499814d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$167.73
Total PnL
$-124.70
Realised
$9.71
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- NO
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
153 shares @ 47.3¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$109.36
$36.99
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
32 shares @ 52.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$14.21
$-2.39
- NO
Will Ventuals launch a token by June 30 2026?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.59
$8.59
- NO
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?
19 shares @ 16.0¢·now 59.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.23
$8.23
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.51
$0.51
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
9 shares @ 34.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.75
$0.75
- YES
Love Wins: 2026 Edition
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.38
$0.38
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
4 shares @ 17.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$0.41
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?$5.21May 31, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?$0.99May 31, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$11.67May 31, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.63May 31, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$4.16May 31, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by April 30?$2.24May 31, 18:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $5.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.