Awful-Sweatsuit
0x817997d188ab6a5bc85180d561b727401b044403
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.6K
Realised
$-54.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
10105 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-946.39
- YES
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
7788 shares @ 53.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.2K
- YES
Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
2464 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-309.99
- YES
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
1043 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-216.75
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
900 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-320.00
- YES
Will "Legends: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?
769 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-132.58
- YES
Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
587 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-170.62
- YES
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?
530 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
465 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-58.83
- NO
Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social?
305 shares @ 65.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?$62.50Jul 4, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$119.02Jul 1, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$50.89Jun 30, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$10.19Jun 24, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$10.21Jun 24, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$10.20Jun 24, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$133.33Jun 22, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$101.00Jun 21, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$791.27Jun 18, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$1.0KJun 15, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$200.00Jun 14, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$549.10Jun 12, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.4KJun 12, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$69.23Jun 11, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$684.61Jun 11, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$47.98Jun 11, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$100.00Jun 11, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$100.00Jun 11, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?$20.00Jun 10, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 13?$40.00Jun 10, 22:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $343.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 11:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 13:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.