Unselfish-Hometown
0x81e7a2ab8e6268009643da1cab2368adb0457389
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$571.62
Total PnL
$15.33
Realised
$25.07
Win rate
25%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
100 shares @ 22.4¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.50
$57.08
- NO
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
104 shares @ 59.2¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$60.88
$-0.74
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
61 shares @ 89.3¢·now 95.6¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$58.32
$3.82
- NO
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?
60 shares @ 74.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$57.30
$12.64
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
79 shares @ 53.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$55.81
$13.86
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
100 shares @ 46.0¢·now 40.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$40.60
$-5.40
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
40 shares @ 81.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.80
$3.15
- YES
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?
116 shares @ 15.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$33.64
$16.24
- NO
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?
31 shares @ 57.8¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$24.95
$7.03
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
79 shares @ 31.8¢·now 27.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$21.85
$-3.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $10B by December 31?$31.00Jul 11, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?$62.15Jul 2, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMDatabricks vs Salesforce - higher valuation on June 30?$329.32Jul 1, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by June 30?$50.00Jul 1, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by June 30?$214.00Jul 1, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by June 30?$14.00Jul 1, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by June 30?$157.16Jul 1, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by June 30?$26.26Jul 1, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by June 30?$108.00Jul 1, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $165B by June 30?$40.00Jul 1, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $30B by December 31?$17.43Jul 1, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$13.97Jul 1, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$1.47Jul 1, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$2.00Jul 1, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$17.64Jul 1, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$22.72Jul 1, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?$167.20Jul 1, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?$41.80Jul 1, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?$41.48Jun 30, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$41.58Jun 30, 14:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
36 closed markets, 25% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $44.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 17:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 19:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.