Thoughtful-Exposition
0x8219f4d94f2d5834f52a75c8756bbc43d501f1fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$5.2K
Total PnL
$-7.1K
Realised
$-410.33
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7919 shares @ 10.9¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.3K
$451.76
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7919 shares @ 15.4¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.3K
$45.72
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7919 shares @ 13.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$906.73
$-145.42
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7920 shares @ 7.1¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$740.48
$174.61
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4724 shares @ 9.2¢·now 9.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$455.85
$21.92
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
32000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$368.00
$-144.00
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
110 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$102.85
$3.85
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
400 shares @ 57.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.00
$-162.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?
13649 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- NO
Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
6869 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.45Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.52Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.56Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.56May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.57May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.57May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.58May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.58May 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.57May 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.57May 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.56May 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.57May 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.57May 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.57May 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.57May 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.58May 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.57May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.56May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.56May 16, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".