Ugly-Workshop
0x8221d78ea40275e4e08199ee7bc013b4bf29e2af
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$7.07
Total PnL
$-58.84
Realised
$-3.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
19 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.81
$-0.19
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
26 shares @ 11.6¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.45
$-0.55
- YES
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
58 shares @ 1.7¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.81
$0.81
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
406 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
245 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
133 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
132 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1.00May 31, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Mike Lee as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$0.46May 31, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?$1.03May 18, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.78May 18, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?$2.05May 17, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-17?$2.05May 17, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-17?$1.02May 17, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$2.09May 17, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?$1.03May 17, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?$1.03May 17, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?$1.02May 17, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?$1.03May 17, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?$1.03May 17, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?$1.02May 17, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?$12.76May 17, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?$3.08May 17, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?$1.04May 17, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.03May 17, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.04May 17, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.03May 17, 09:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 17:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 17:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.