Distant-Emission
0x82e8dcabbb49b71cb530dd78d42fd4732c027de6
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$141.30
Total PnL
$-219.65
Realised
$-83.71
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 84.4¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$115.98
$14.70
- NO
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?
150 shares @ 13.3¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.00
$4.00
- YES
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
293 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.32
$-1.95
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
232 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.49
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
191 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
170 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.56
- YES
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
150 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
64 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
64 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
55 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?$6.89May 29, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?$2.00May 29, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?$0.56May 29, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?$0.56May 29, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?$10.00May 29, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.24May 29, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Ladies First" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$0.00May 27, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?$10.00May 26, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?$1.30May 25, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$0.96May 25, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$101.28May 25, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$0.33May 25, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$1.11May 25, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$43.16May 25, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$6.64May 25, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Ladies First" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$0.65May 23, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Ladies First" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$0.36May 23, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$72.22May 23, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$72.29May 22, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$48.80May 22, 22:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $17.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 01:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 21:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".