Competent-Anteater
0x8344987e4cb49402a5b33b632a709b1d175d1e09
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$13.56
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$10.18
$-9.82
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 17.1¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.36
$-0.34
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.93
$0.42
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
226 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.57
$-1.43
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
4 shares @ 41.3¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.27
$-1.23
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?
1028 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.17
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
822 shares @ 77.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-635.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?
599 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?
464 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.26Jun 1, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 1, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$60.00Jun 1, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$287.94Jun 1, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$7.46Jun 1, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.1KJun 1, 14:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$733.49May 31, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$44.55May 31, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$48.10May 31, 13:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$365.79May 30, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?$365.32May 30, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$16.11May 30, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$16.73May 30, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$179.03May 30, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$19.24May 30, 08:18 UTC
- SPLITMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 30, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$297.29May 30, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$35.93May 30, 07:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $179.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 01:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 15:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.