Knowledgeable-Stair
0x8360eaef1989ce114edd25fb9ca2e4b194ac50a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
94
Open notional
$147.73
Total PnL
$-320.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.15
$3.15
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.63
$1.63
- YES
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
35 shares @ 57.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$20.88
$0.88
- NO
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.85
$6.85
- NO
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.59
$0.59
- NO
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 41.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.50
$-9.50
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.38
$0.38
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 4.7¢·now 7.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.75
$3.05
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.03
$1.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$8.37Jun 4, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$5.45Jun 4, 15:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$15.00Jun 3, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$5.03Jun 3, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$3.98Jun 3, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$5.21Jun 3, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$5.73Jun 3, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$4.69Jun 3, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$5.20Jun 3, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$11.84Jun 3, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$5.06Jun 3, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$5.05Jun 3, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$5.75Jun 3, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$5.05Jun 3, 02:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$6.33Jun 1, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$5.07Jun 1, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$10.30Jun 1, 19:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $6.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 15:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".