Appropriate-Gyro
0x83925a15578b569c11df00144e7989b68cc2cc36
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$6.9K
Total PnL
$3.16
Realised
$3.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
2641 shares @ 51.4¢·now 65.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.7K
$359.24
- YES
Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?
1412 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.4K
$196.97
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1204 shares @ 39.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.0K
$572.13
- NO
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
537 shares @ 76.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$536.51
$123.85
- NO
Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
370 shares @ 92.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$368.52
$27.23
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
400 shares @ 82.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$354.00
$26.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
200 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$200.00
$56.00
- NO
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
1000 shares @ 70.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$170.00
$-530.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 68.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$164.99
$29.00
- NO
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
150 shares @ 85.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$149.93
$21.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Antonio Villaraigosa advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$11.00Jun 12, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$135.99Jun 8, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?$200.00May 30, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$4.29May 26, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$60.48May 26, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$7.20May 26, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$72.03May 26, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?$172.00May 26, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$84.00May 26, 00:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$200.00May 23, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$82.24May 22, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$77.76May 22, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$168.81May 22, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-22?$73.30May 22, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$500.00May 19, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$404.01May 18, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$46.17May 18, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$160.00May 14, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$100.00May 11, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$16.00May 8, 01:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $66.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 15:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.