EntertainmentMulti-outcomeExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2026?

Probability

3¢

1h

+0.4pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$35.25

Liquidity

$18.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

-3.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 13:00Apr 27, 2026, 12:44
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  • 1

    Thin liquidity

    Only $18.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5939.3h

    LOW

Price movement

-0.4pp over the last 24h, now 4¢.

Biggest hourly move: -4.3pp at 2d ago (to 3¢).

Show top 8 of 22 hourly moves
  • 1d ago · -4.0pp → 4¢
  • 1d ago · -4.3pp → 4¢
  • 2d ago · -4.3pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · -4.3pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · -4.3pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · -4.1pp → 2¢
  • 2d ago · -4.1pp → 2¢
  • 4d ago · -4.2pp → 2¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

8
Same eventTop Spotify Artist 2026

Market Description

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026. If Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
annual report
Link
newsroom.spotify.com
Type
Company filing
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket