Flamboyant-Barometer
0x83c56c56bc67c0b99b38abd1c0a3c1aca7a7e193
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
107
Open notional
$5.6K
Total PnL
$-184.23
Realised
$-43.56
Win rate
57%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
900 shares @ 39.3¢·now 47.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$427.50
$73.50
- NO
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
200 shares @ 96.1¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$194.50
$2.30
- YES
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?
219 shares @ 88.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$191.52
$-2.88
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
200 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$186.60
$-1.40
- YES
Will Trump praise Gianni Infantino by June 30?
180 shares @ 76.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$179.87
$41.50
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026?
180 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$177.21
$3.91
- NO
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
195 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$175.50
$0.00
- YES
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?
186 shares @ 78.5¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$159.66
$13.98
- NO
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?
194 shares @ 80.2¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$156.09
$0.67
- NO
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
199 shares @ 60.7¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$153.51
$32.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?$79.00Jun 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?$40.00Jun 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Lamborghini" during his next YouTube video?$17.21Jun 13, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMPresident Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?$119.99Jun 13, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11?$11.95Jun 13, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11?$2.85Jun 13, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Neves be in Portugal's Starting 11?$1.05Jun 13, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$40.30Jun 13, 02:23 UTC
- REWARD$8.05Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$88.15Jun 12, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alien arrests in New York hit 4800+ by June 30?$0.39Jun 12, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camila Cabello perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$8.81Jun 12, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on June 14, 2026?$1.68Jun 12, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Ríos be in Colombia's Starting 11?$7.63Jun 12, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on June 14, 2026?$18.45Jun 12, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on June 14, 2026?$36.00Jun 12, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gwynne Shotwell be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$70.87Jun 12, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Danilo be in Brazil's Starting 11?$0.35Jun 12, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11?$0.64Jun 12, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcus Rashford be in England's Starting 11?$6.47Jun 12, 15:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $14.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 18:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.