Monstrous-Charlatan
0x83c56fad4dc58f22152b751a46c44cd1c5b49a7e
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$295.63
Total PnL
$-39.65
Realised
$-22.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
110 shares @ 77.6¢·now 79.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$87.01
$1.96
- NO
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
53 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$50.99
$2.23
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
65 shares @ 50.2¢·now 61.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$39.81
$7.16
- NO
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
51 shares @ 31.4¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$27.80
$11.78
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
51 shares @ 64.8¢·now 43.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.82
$-11.02
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
20 shares @ 56.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$19.73
$8.53
- NO
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.96
$0.36
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
10 shares @ 97.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.64
$-0.10
- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
10 shares @ 78.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.48
$1.68
- YES
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1100 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.15
$0.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$0.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 30?$3.485h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 30?$3.485h ago
- YIELD$0.0118h ago
- YIELD$0.022d ago
- REWARD$1.152d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?$0.003d ago
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?$0.003d ago
- YIELD$0.014d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?$3.965d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$10.205d ago
- YIELD$0.015d ago
- YIELD$0.016d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?$4.006d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?$0.746d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?$0.736d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?$0.636d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$5.036d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$6.006d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $100.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 23d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".