Optimal-Forage
0x84370b1078e0093e52191a778efdd1ce88741c11
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$9.2K
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$-680.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
3064 shares @ 81.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.9K
$364.69
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
2304 shares @ 86.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$85.31
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2267 shares @ 66.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$56.69
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
2500 shares @ 60.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$-300.00
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
1351 shares @ 74.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$993.24
$-6.76
- YES
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
1365 shares @ 24.5¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$225.28
$-108.72
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
136 shares @ 73.8¢·now 78.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$106.38
$6.38
- NO
Will Trump say "Soleimani" at The Villages on May 1?
150 shares @ 66.9¢·now 64.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$96.45
$-3.55
- YES
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
227 shares @ 44.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$89.73
$-10.27
- YES
Will the UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026?
6270 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Soleimani" at The Villages on May 1?$101.323h ago
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Luck" during April press conference?$42.861d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Luck" during April press conference?$30.362d ago
- TRADESELLWill the UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026?$4.972d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026?$100.002d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.5K3d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.5K3d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$299.683d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1000.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.5K4d ago
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$2.0K4d ago
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$1000.004d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$307.004d ago
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?$334.004d ago
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$2.0K4d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$2.0K5d ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$1.1K5d ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$3.3K5d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$1000.005d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$1000.005d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 9d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".