Flippant-Venture
0x847a47e8c92967e03631a2ae1dee5e3831bce3e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$16.05
Total PnL
$-49.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$4.17
$3.17
- NO
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.50
$1.50
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.71
$0.71
- YES
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.29
$0.29
- YES
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.57
$-0.42
- YES
Human moon landing in 2026?
15 shares @ 6.6¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.46
$-0.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Feb 28, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$9.09Feb 28, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.00Feb 25, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.00Feb 25, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.00Feb 25, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.00Feb 25, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.00Feb 25, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.00Feb 25, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.00Feb 25, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Feb 25, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$12.37Feb 25, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$10.00Feb 25, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.00Feb 25, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYHuman moon landing in 2026?$1.00Feb 25, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$1.00Feb 25, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?$1.00Feb 25, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?$1.00Feb 25, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.00Feb 25, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 25, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Feb 25, 09:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 08:40 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 19:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.