Nimble-Thermals
0x848df648f91091f0f90d941990764c895d1235e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$6.4K
Total PnL
$873.81
Realised
$237.49
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
3029 shares @ 56.3¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.2K
$520.75
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
994 shares @ 36.4¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$770.73
$408.21
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
1106 shares @ 53.5¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$591.72
$-0.22
- NO
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
407 shares @ 90.9¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$378.90
$8.37
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
320 shares @ 75.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$288.01
$48.00
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
507 shares @ 40.5¢·now 56.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$284.08
$78.66
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
332 shares @ 68.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$240.70
$14.94
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
387 shares @ 65.6¢·now 62.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$240.64
$-13.16
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
235 shares @ 78.5¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$227.53
$42.71
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
500 shares @ 74.8¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$187.50
$-186.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$51.22Jun 13, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$107.74Jun 13, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$90.30Jun 12, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$100.01Jun 12, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? $112.50Jun 12, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$75.00Jun 12, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$186.62Jun 12, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$114.45Jun 12, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$63.50Jun 12, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$16.20Jun 12, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$13.06Jun 11, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$5.02Jun 11, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$5.36Jun 11, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$23.60Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$5.23Jun 11, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$16.74Jun 11, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$3.68Jun 11, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$3.68Jun 11, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$3.68Jun 11, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$3.68Jun 11, 23:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $65.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 12:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 09:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.