Surprised-Inability
0x84d288cf59ed8031e6bc52abe8d38ca96a69c597
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$756.91
Total PnL
$-9.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Bayern Munich win DFB-Pokal?
180 shares @ 83.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$146.68
$-2.72
- NO
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
113 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Oct 21, 2026$97.85
$0.57
- NO
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 92.6¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$91.85
$-0.75
- YES
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?
120 shares @ 70.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$85.80
$1.80
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
90 shares @ 73.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$63.89
$-1.80
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
70 shares @ 68.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$46.55
$-1.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
66 shares @ 68.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.86
$0.98
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 39.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$35.80
$20.20
- YES
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-17?
100 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$31.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$28.49
$-1.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?$0.02May 15, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?$0.02May 15, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?$0.02May 15, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?$0.28May 15, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?$0.06May 15, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?$17.20May 15, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$14.20May 15, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?$0.01May 15, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?$0.01May 15, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?$0.16May 15, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?$0.03May 15, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?$30.63May 15, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Cremonese win on 2026-05-17?$32.65May 15, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?$6.33May 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?$23.04May 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$47.60May 15, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$45.45May 15, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?$50.32May 15, 07:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Roma vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?$4.50May 14, 14:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $24.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 07:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 18:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".