Hungry-Masonry
0x84dee632fda2951cf472a86dba4e32fcfbb8134e
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$31.99
Total PnL
$-23.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
290 shares @ 13.4¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.69
$-14.12
- YES
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
26 shares @ 38.7¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.84
$-7.16
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- CLEVELAND GUARDIANS
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.01
$-0.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
10 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians$1.00May 27, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers$1.00May 17, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals$1.00May 17, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.60May 8, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.00May 6, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.04May 6, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.04May 6, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.04May 6, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?$0.00Apr 13, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?$0.00Apr 13, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by March 31?$0.00Apr 13, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 13, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 13, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 13, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 13, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.00Mar 13, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?$1.00Mar 8, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?$1.00Mar 8, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 5, 19:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 02:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 19:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.