Hasty-Turret
0x853aca4f2df53ae6881d106bae6757eef4ef1a9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
76
Open notional
$93.82
Total PnL
$-1.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- NO
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 93.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.36
$0.36
- NO
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 90.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.83
$-0.17
- NO
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
1 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.18
$0.08
- NO
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?
1 shares @ 93.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.18
$0.08
- NO
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
1 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.18
$0.08
- NO
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
1 shares @ 93.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.17
$0.07
- NO
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.17
$0.07
- NO
Will Brian Cillessen win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.17
$0.07
- NO
Will Betty Yee advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.17
$0.07
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.