PoliticsExpires Jun 2, 2026

Will Betty Yee advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Probability

1h

+0.1pp

24h

-0.1pp

24h Vol

$10.00

Liquidity

$10.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.1pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:52
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 894h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $10.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 894.1h

    LOW
  • 17:52Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 894h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.1pp over the last 24h, now 2¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventWho will advance from the California Governor primary?
Category · Politics

Market Description

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 2, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
natoOfficial government sourceextracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
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Alerts

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