Unusual-Federation
0x8587f5c9142460e12ecf20b802b23dbf9f9facaa
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$3.06
Total PnL
$-488.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.04
$-0.00
- YES
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.02
$0.01
- YES
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
4 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$0.00
- KINGS
Kings vs. Cavaliers
545 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- OVER
Utah vs. Flames: O/U 7.5
120 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-31.18
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. Hawks
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- KINGS
Kings vs. Knicks
87 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Knicks
82 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-36.07
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. Nuggets
80 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-15.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$11.01May 5, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.40May 1, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$21.08May 1, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?$2.02May 1, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?$1.70May 1, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$1.06May 1, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$1.40May 1, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$11.00Apr 30, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.04Apr 30, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.00Apr 29, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.40Apr 28, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?$2.01Apr 28, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$1.36Apr 26, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?$2.00Apr 25, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?$1.70Apr 24, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?$2.00Apr 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$21.00Apr 22, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?$45.05Apr 22, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?$45.00Apr 19, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.93Apr 19, 05:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $7.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 22:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 18:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.