Costly-Puddle
0x859ed7d6ce50dea46ec3d9f7aabfd64bfbfeea9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$74.00
Total PnL
$-65.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
74 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$74.00
$1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
350 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
91 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$73.05May 30, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$53.00May 30, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$100.00May 28, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$7.33May 27, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$9.41May 27, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$86.60May 27, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$131.63May 27, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$143.44May 25, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$143.50May 25, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$144.00May 24, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$143.20May 24, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$124.00May 23, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$80.02May 23, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?$5.08May 23, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by April 30? $6.08May 23, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$6.11May 23, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 11?$26.37May 23, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$80.06May 22, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 11?$0.72Apr 10, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 11?$1.79Apr 10, 16:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $65.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 21:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 13:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".