Serious-Sardine
0x85c30a1efc44d1a880392ab5cd63f090d223d386
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.37
Total PnL
$-100.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.37
$-0.63
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?
234 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?
111 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
94 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN FC
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Maduro" this week?
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?
27 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$5.25Jun 14, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)$5.14May 30, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$2.21May 18, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$3.15May 18, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$10.32May 18, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?$26.12May 18, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?$2.05May 9, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-09?$3.08May 9, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-09?$1.03May 9, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$5.14May 9, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.06May 6, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?$4.27May 6, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$6.76May 5, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?$21.60May 5, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?$10.39May 4, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEM76ers vs. Celtics$51.72May 3, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Celtics$15.32May 2, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$1.03May 2, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?$1.07May 2, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$0.00May 2, 15:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $5.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 15:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.