Basic-Following
0x862d50ac32c8291ef48c91f08a38dff929a87120
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$53.41
Total PnL
$-37.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.85
$-1.15
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.75
$1.75
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
96 shares @ 10.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.85
$-6.15
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
43 shares @ 23.1¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.25
$-6.75
- YES
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.92
$-7.08
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?
51 shares @ 11.7¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.79
$-3.21
- YES
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.64
$-2.36
Recent activity
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$50.00May 11, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?$6.21May 4, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.00May 4, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$5.17May 4, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$5.00May 4, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?$10.00May 4, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$10.00May 4, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$5.00May 4, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$10.00May 4, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$5.00May 4, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$10.00May 4, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 4, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by May 31?$10.00May 4, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$10.36May 4, 04:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $7.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 04:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 17:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".