Mixed-Treasury
0x8648f9098eb3cad309920c1fb510ba33bbc429dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$124.24
Total PnL
$-38.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
220 shares @ 15.9¢·now 17.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$37.51
$2.43
- YES
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 58.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$27.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
530 shares @ 4.5¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.88
$-4.18
- YES
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
290 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.85
$-1.45
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.70
$-1.30
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.54
$-5.46
- YES
Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
361 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$1.26
$-1.16
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?
792 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.19
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
100 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
25 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-14.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29.37Jun 2, 04:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$27.93Jun 1, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7.97Jun 1, 01:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$11.24May 29, 02:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$0.01May 28, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$1.89May 28, 12:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$47.75May 27, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.72May 27, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.38May 27, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$27.98May 27, 19:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.77May 26, 02:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.53May 25, 11:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $12.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 17:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 04:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".