Lovely-Onset-Chiffonier
0x86503a08c128058c9eec6ef9c96330c2def3b239
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$11.12
Total PnL
$-337.02
Realised
$43.85
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
122 shares @ 4.1¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.04
$1.04
- YES
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in June 2026?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.59
$-4.41
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
355 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-76.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 11?
197 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
182 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
156 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$120.48Jun 13, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$101.19Jun 13, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill next Claude Mythos debut on the Text Arena Leaderboard at 1500+?$0.00Jun 11, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 11?$100.00Jun 11, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$51.60Jun 11, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$25.63Jun 11, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$25.88Jun 11, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$0.00Jun 11, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill next Claude Mythos debut on the Text Arena Leaderboard at 1500+?$5.18Jun 11, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$5.23Jun 11, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$99.08Jun 11, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$100.91Jun 11, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.09Jun 11, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$5.19Jun 11, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.31Jun 11, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$8.19Jun 11, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.19Jun 11, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$39.83Jun 11, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$5.21Jun 11, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$25.89Jun 11, 11:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $30.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 08:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.