0x8675cad06c6ed5c00d18b7755d1e42cff4d94458
0x8675cad06c6ed5c00d18b7755d1e42cff4d94458
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$115.48
Total PnL
$-27.56
Realised
$-0.59
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
54 shares @ 46.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$53.60
$28.61
- YES
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
16 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$15.84
$0.88
- YES
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.20
$7.20
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.74
$-0.25
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 28.2¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.43
$-12.56
- YES
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
93 shares @ 1.8¢·now 6.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.09
$4.45
- YES
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.03
$-0.97
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 57.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.64
$-0.12
- YES
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
69 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$4.99Mar 17, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$4.13Mar 17, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.87Mar 17, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$5.00Mar 17, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$2.05Mar 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.05Mar 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.42Mar 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.04Mar 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.14Mar 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.04Mar 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.32Mar 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.14Mar 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.09Mar 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.19Mar 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1.54Mar 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$5.00Mar 17, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$5.00Mar 17, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.41Mar 17, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$4.59Mar 17, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$2.26Mar 17, 12:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 10:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 12:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.