Marvelous-Sponsorship
0x86d1d7713abb3150d1da0fe2f3ea7ad043670a6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$174.53
Total PnL
$-22.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?
59 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$58.82
$8.82
- YES
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
78 shares @ 64.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$45.31
$-4.69
- YES
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
77 shares @ 65.0¢·now 58.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.65
$-5.35
- NO
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.94
$0.94
- YES
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 10.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.78
$0.78
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
3 shares @ 34.9¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 3.4¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.24
$0.24
- YES
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.15
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cuba" during events with Brazilian president?$1.02May 7, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "BRICS" during events with Brazilian president?$1.01May 7, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 30-34 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.00May 7, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 25-29 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.00May 7, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.00May 7, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.00May 7, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.00May 7, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.01May 7, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.01May 7, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$1.00May 7, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$1.00May 7, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.03Apr 30, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$1.04Apr 30, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$1.04Apr 30, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$1.05Apr 30, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$1.05Apr 30, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$1.05Apr 30, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$1.05Apr 30, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$1.05Apr 30, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$1.05Apr 30, 18:52 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 13:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 10:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".