Cavernous-Governor
0x86de57ca58c50401ec48538399fd7d5e49a81e2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$3.10
Total PnL
$-4.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$1.33
$0.34
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
5 shares @ 78.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$2.00Jun 3, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$1.99Jun 3, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02May 9, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$1.82Apr 23, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$1.00Apr 23, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?$1.00Apr 23, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$1.00Apr 23, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 23, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$0.00Apr 14, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$0.00Apr 14, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$5.00Apr 14, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$5.00Apr 14, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$4.00Apr 14, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Mar 23, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$0.00Mar 23, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$0.00Mar 23, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$0.00Mar 23, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$4.59Mar 23, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$4.60Mar 23, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$3.44Mar 23, 07:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 06:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 03:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.