Rotating-Deathwatch
0x86eb1343ce524c648d250bfdcec5da0cd1c15864
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
99
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-804.47
Realised
$2.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
200 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$200.00
$60.00
- NO
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
200 shares @ 77.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$168.00
$14.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 66.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$166.00
$34.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 60.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$102.00
$-18.00
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 88.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$99.30
$11.00
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
100 shares @ 68.2¢·now 80.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.20
$12.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
100 shares @ 76.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.50
$0.50
- NO
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
100 shares @ 66.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.49
$7.50
- NO
Blue wave in 2026?
240 shares @ 25.9¢·now 29.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$70.80
$8.60
- NO
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
100 shares @ 79.4¢·now 68.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.35
$-11.05
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$42.19Jun 11, 02:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?$4.70Jun 6, 21:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$2.27Jun 6, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$162.06Jun 5, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$178.00Jun 5, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 in June?$32.50Jun 5, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$55.40Jun 5, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?$3.00Jun 5, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$6.90Jun 5, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$15.78Jun 5, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.82Jun 5, 05:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $50.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 16:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.