Disguised-Cashew
0x8762f9360f595197254f5dfaad675a11132007a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$52.78
Total PnL
$-85.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
19 shares @ 52.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.03
$9.03
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?
10 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$10.13
$0.13
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?
7 shares @ 75.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$6.60
$1.60
- NO
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
6 shares @ 85.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$6.44
$0.94
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$5.46
$0.16
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
5 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$5.12
$0.12
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
63 shares @ 69.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
50 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?$10.01May 6, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?$5.09May 6, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$5.31May 6, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$5.01May 6, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$9.74May 6, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.24May 6, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?$2.63May 6, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$21.36May 6, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$24.05May 6, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$19.90May 6, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$19.57May 6, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$6.60Feb 12, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$10.46Feb 12, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$5.50Feb 9, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?$2.50Feb 9, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$10.00Feb 9, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$5.60Feb 9, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$7.00Feb 9, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$6.00Feb 9, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$30.00Feb 9, 15:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $12.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 18:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 05:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.