0x87852665e53317a02163d4f5970413ac20fadf3f
0x87852665e53317a02163d4f5970413ac20fadf3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.99
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-135.02
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3970 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.99
$-70.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
9915 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-72.64
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?
8426 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-116.51
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
5496 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-42.55
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
4059 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.83
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
3337 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.34
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
3337 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.34
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
2682 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-13.41
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
1907 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-345.97
- YES
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
1706 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-37.77
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$24.58Apr 26, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$102.57Apr 25, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$10.43Apr 25, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$30.36Apr 25, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$162.64Apr 25, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$51.95Apr 25, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?$158.67Apr 22, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$139.90Apr 22, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$119.62Apr 22, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?$180.74Apr 21, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?$187.30Apr 21, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$137.63Apr 21, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$180.09Apr 21, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$235.45Apr 21, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$72.02Apr 21, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$221.44Apr 21, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?$466.07Apr 21, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$1.8KApr 21, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$17.78Apr 21, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$14.88Apr 21, 16:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $85.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 04:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 03:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.